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Red60
379410.4
352218.7
315817.2
Blue35
664713.0
710215.3
57166.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50372060801006035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.2
17.818.0
Auto9.1
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 3.4
7102
#21
15.30.1
15.115.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Second
17.20.2
16.416.6
Auto7.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
red by 4.2
13.00.1
12.912.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
3794
#35
10.40.2
9.69.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
red by 3.6
5716
#18
6.80.1
6.66.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End1.7