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Red38
928016.1
347211.1
401012.8
Blue8
66088.6
35275.7
689612.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342501020304050388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#11
16.10.1
12.112.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 4.1
12.02.1
8.96.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End0.2
Second
4010
#14
12.80.1
6.46.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 4.2
6608
#25
8.62.1
9.27.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.5
End0.6
Third
11.10.1
7.98.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
red by 5.3
3527
#20
5.72.1
8.76.6
Auto0.7
Teleop4.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed