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Red15
66065.6
47356.3
435510.6
Blue35
689612.0
66054.4
347832.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28470204060801535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#17
10.62.0
9.27.2
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End2.7
blue by 22.3
32.90.7
27.526.8
Auto12.6
Teleop16.8
End3.5
Second
4735
#24
6.31.2
8.47.2
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 5.6
12.01.1
6.95.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End0.2
Third
6606
#29Sur
5.62.0
10.08.1
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End1.3
red by 1.1
6605
#23
4.41.1
5.84.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed