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Red43
594822.8
347211.1
47356.3
Blue46
570518.3
66054.4
478214.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43250102030506070804346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5948
#10
22.80.1
20.420.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 4.5
5705
#13
18.32.4
9.311.6
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Second
11.10.1
9.19.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 2.9
4782
#12
14.01.4
10.612.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.6
End0.6
Third
4735
#24
6.30.1
7.27.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End0.1
red by 1.9
6605
#23
4.42.4
4.77.1
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed