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Red23
928016.1
689612.0
66065.6
Blue35
477511.2
335410.5
710222.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26460204060802335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#11
16.10.2
12.212.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 6.8
22.80.3
19.118.8
Auto7.2
Teleop13.3
End2.3
Second
12.00.3
5.85.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End0.2
red by 0.8
4775
#19
11.20.3
8.27.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
Third
6606
#29
5.60.3
8.17.7
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End1.3
blue by 5.0
3354
#15
10.50.4
11.811.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed