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Red48
928016.1
669414.0
588714.7
Blue2
91035.7
47356.3
92828.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392206080482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#11
16.11.0
13.214.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 7.1
9282
#28
8.91.3
7.86.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End1.0
Second
5887
#18
14.71.0
9.210.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End0.6
red by 8.3
4735
#24
6.31.3
7.25.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Third
14.01.6
11.012.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 8.4
9103
#16
5.72.2
7.14.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed