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Red33
401012.8
91035.7
66054.4
Blue21
335410.5
47319.8
66065.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203601030405060703321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#14
12.80.9
11.212.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 2.3
3354
#15
10.51.0
13.512.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.6
End0.6
Second
9103
#16
5.71.3
4.96.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End0.6
blue by 4.2
4731
#27
9.81.1
9.28.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Third
6605
#23
4.41.3
4.15.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.6
End0.8
blue by 1.1
6606
#29
5.61.0
8.17.1
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed