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Red46
47319.8
588714.7
669414.0
Blue55
35275.7
570518.3
95939.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39351020305060704655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5887
#18
14.70.3
13.513.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 3.6
5705
#13
18.30.2
18.018.2
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Second
14.00.3
12.713.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End1.6
red by 5.0
9.00.2
8.88.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Third
4731
#27
9.80.3
8.48.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
red by 4.1
3527
#20
5.70.2
5.55.7
Auto0.7
Teleop4.5
End0.5