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Red54
435510.6
401012.8
928016.1
Blue46
689612.0
477511.2
347211.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443602060801001205446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9280
#11
16.10.3
15.816.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 4.1
12.00.2
11.812.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End0.2
Second
4010
#14
12.80.3
12.613.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.7
red by 1.7
4775
#19
11.20.2
11.011.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
Third
4355
#17
10.60.4
10.410.8
Auto5.6
Teleop2.4
End2.7
blue by 0.4
11.10.2
10.911.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.1