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Red130
348013.1
463535.7
440035.1
Blue74
552611.1
440325.9
570522.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9460408012014016013074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.9
34.835.7
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 9.8
25.90.4
25.525.9
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End1.5
Second
35.10.9
34.335.1
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End1.9
red by 12.9
22.20.4
21.822.2
Auto10.2
Teleop10.5
End1.5
Third
3480
#28
13.11.0
12.113.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End1.2
red by 2.0
5526
#17
11.10.4
10.711.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End0.6