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Red86
463535.7
913413.8
826616.2
Blue59
352614.0
757713.1
670218.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5938020801008659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.72.6
29.331.9
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 16.9
6702
#19
18.80.8
18.018.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Second
8266
#13
16.23.9
9.513.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 2.2
14.00.7
8.69.3
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End1.1
Third
9134
#11
13.82.6
12.214.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
red by 0.7
7577
#18
13.11.1
10.311.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned