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Red65
949912.1
348013.1
463535.7
Blue52
704010.9
620018.1
228318.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593202040801001206552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.7
31.932.5
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 17.1
2283
#26
18.62.2
13.015.2
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
3480
#28
13.11.1
8.89.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 5.0
6200
#14
18.12.2
10.412.6
Auto8.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Third
9499
#15Sur
12.11.1
9.510.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End3.1
red by 1.2
7040
#34
10.92.2
9.011.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed