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Red40
757713.1
477516.1
634811.9
Blue75
82918.1
440035.1
435512.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34510204060801004075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.5
11.812.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 19.0
35.12.1
25.027.0
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End1.9
Second
7577
#18
13.10.8
11.412.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.4
red by 0.4
4355
#12
12.62.1
10.212.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Third
6348
#37
11.90.5
9.49.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.9
red by 3.9
8291
#20
8.13.4
9.012.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed