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Red54
82918.1
463535.7
335413.8
Blue35
47357.8
703710.6
912010.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions682504060801001205435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.1
32.532.4
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 25.1
7037
#36
10.60.9
9.38.4
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Second
13.80.1
11.111.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
red by 3.7
9120
#16
10.10.9
11.110.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Third
8291
#20
8.10.2
12.412.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.6
red by 0.3
4735
#35
7.80.5
7.57.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed