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Red43
617016.1
912010.1
75468.6
Blue35
435512.6
757713.1
703710.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3436202530404550554335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.1
13.213.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
red by 3.0
7577
#18
13.10.1
12.312.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.5
End0.4
Second
9120
#16
10.10.2
10.210.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End0.5
blue by 2.5
4355
#12
12.60.1
11.211.3
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Third
7546
#23
8.60.1
7.47.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End0.5
blue by 1.9
7037
#36
10.60.1
8.48.5
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed