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Red22
829312.0
435512.6
61994.5
Blue40
913413.8
912010.1
228318.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29341520254045502240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#12
12.60.4
10.610.3
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
blue by 5.9
2283
#26
18.61.1
10.111.2
Auto9.4
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
8293
#25
12.00.5
8.37.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 1.8
9134
#11
13.80.8
11.412.2
Auto6.8
Teleop6.0
End0.9
Third
6199
#40
4.50.5
7.87.3
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 5.6
9120
#16
10.11.1
8.79.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed