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Red38
703710.6
768714.8
855810.1
Blue41
949912.1
435512.6
335413.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274102060803841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7687
#27
14.81.2
10.711.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.7
red by 1.0
13.80.4
12.412.8
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Second
7037
#36
10.61.2
8.19.3
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End1.3
blue by 2.1
4355
#12
12.60.4
11.211.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
Third
8558
#21
10.11.2
7.58.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 2.0
9499
#15
12.10.6
11.912.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed