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Red54
463535.7
71618.8
53129.5
Blue73
587410.7
617016.1
440325.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545201001505473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.3
32.432.1
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 9.8
25.90.4
24.424.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.9
End1.5
Second
5312
#29
9.50.3
7.36.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.6
End1.3
blue by 6.6
16.10.4
13.714.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Third
7161
#32
8.80.5
8.98.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End0.8
blue by 1.9
5874
#22
10.70.7
9.09.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsEarned