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Red33
768714.8
552611.1
704010.9
Blue18
82918.1
61994.5
68969.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40240102030506070803318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7687
#27
14.80.1
14.013.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.7
red by 5.7
6896
#33
9.21.0
9.48.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End-0.0
Second
5526
#17
11.10.1
10.110.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 3.0
8291
#20
8.11.3
8.87.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Third
7040
#34
10.90.1
10.09.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End1.8
red by 6.3
6199
#40
4.51.3
5.74.4
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned