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Red53
912010.1
435512.6
570522.2
Blue51
951311.6
826616.2
71618.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51330204060801005351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
20.320.2
Auto10.2
Teleop10.5
End1.5
red by 6.0
8266
#13
16.21.7
15.417.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Second
4355
#12
12.60.2
12.712.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.4
End2.5
red by 1.0
9513
#30
11.61.7
10.011.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Third
9120
#16
10.10.2
10.710.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End0.5
red by 1.3
7161
#32
8.81.7
6.98.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed