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Red47
61994.5
75468.6
440035.1
Blue100
463535.7
617016.1
460319.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467402040608010012047100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.1
31.932.1
Auto11.5
Teleop21.7
End1.9
blue by 0.5
35.70.8
31.932.7
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Second
7546
#23
8.60.1
8.58.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.1
End0.5
blue by 10.8
19.51.0
17.918.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Third
6199
#40
4.50.2
4.44.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.3
End0.4
blue by 11.5
16.10.8
13.914.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned