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Red48
57277.6
903212.6
949632.4
Blue49
97895.7
663914.0
776327.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60482030407080904849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.0
31.130.1
Auto14.2
Teleop17.0
End1.2
red by 5.2
27.20.3
24.724.4
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End0.6
Second
9032
#21
12.61.7
7.65.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.4
blue by 1.5
6639
#10
14.00.5
12.612.1
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Third
5727
#15
7.61.7
14.212.6
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End1.0
red by 1.9
9789
#17
5.70.5
7.36.8
Auto4.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed