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Red33
96053.5
12256.7
68887.8
Blue17
903212.6
789014.4
90425.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313515202540453317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6888
#14
7.80.8
10.910.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.4
blue by 6.6
7890
#13
14.40.9
14.713.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Second
1225
#19
6.70.8
8.57.6
Auto4.9
Teleop0.9
End0.9
blue by 5.9
9032
#21
12.61.5
9.68.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Third
3.51.9
6.48.3
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
blue by 1.9
9042
#27
5.30.9
6.65.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed