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Red5
96075.7
97624.7
97895.7
Blue78
479530.1
56796.5
57277.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20520406080578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9789
#17
5.71.8
7.05.2
Auto4.1
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 24.3
30.10.1
27.227.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.9
End0.6
Second
9607
#16
5.71.8
8.26.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 1.9
5727
#15
7.60.2
11.611.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Third
9762
#25
4.71.8
7.05.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End0.7
blue by 1.8
5679
#24
6.50.2
4.54.7
Auto4.2
Teleop1.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed