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Red50
96053.5
949632.4
42909.7
Blue33
842916.5
57277.6
350619.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47522030406070805033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.5
30.531.0
Auto14.2
Teleop17.0
End1.2
red by 13.3
19.11.1
18.217.1
Auto10.8
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Second
4290
#20
9.70.6
10.010.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.6
End1.0
blue by 6.8
16.50.9
17.416.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
3.50.6
2.22.9
Auto3.1
Teleop-0.1
End0.5
blue by 4.1
5727
#15
7.61.2
10.79.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed