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Red43
90020.8
842916.5
12256.7
Blue58
58722.1
350619.1
69327.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4854204060801004358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#6
20.80.1
20.820.7
Auto10.0
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 1.3
587
#9
22.10.2
21.822.0
Auto10.4
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Second
16.50.1
16.716.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 2.6
19.10.2
18.819.1
Auto10.8
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Third
1225
#19
6.70.1
6.86.6
Auto4.9
Teleop0.9
End0.9
blue by 0.8
6932
#26
7.50.2
7.27.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7