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Red81
873827.4
482829.6
264230.0
Blue52
900823.9
90018.1
903224.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8373501001508152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.5
21.021.5
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
red by 5.6
24.51.0
21.720.6
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Second
29.60.5
28.328.8
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
red by 5.7
9008
#19
23.91.0
24.623.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Third
8738
#20
27.40.5
24.825.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
red by 9.3
900
#28
18.11.0
21.120.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed