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Red43
672922.5
322916.5
58723.8
Blue29
42908.5
689425.4
69327.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7250204060801001204329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#27
23.81.8
22.220.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
blue by 1.5
6894
#23
25.41.9
24.422.5
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Second
22.51.8
21.019.2
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 14.0
4290
#39
8.51.9
13.811.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Third
3229
#29
16.51.8
19.717.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End0.8
red by 8.7
6932
#33
7.81.9
9.47.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned