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Red77
58723.8
900823.9
153318.0
Blue85
264014.1
205920.6
479539.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718040601001207785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#19
23.90.3
22.823.1
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End1.2
blue by 15.9
39.80.2
38.338.5
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
Second
587
#27
23.80.3
24.324.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 3.2
2059
#22
20.60.2
20.420.6
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
1533
#25
18.00.3
17.818.2
Auto8.6
Teleop8.0
End1.4
red by 3.9
2640
#37
14.10.2
12.712.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned