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Red45
482922.2
350623.1
663919.7
Blue37
744319.2
830412.3
322916.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72510204060801001204537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#12
23.11.5
19.918.4
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
red by 3.9
7443
#18
19.20.8
15.114.3
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Second
4829
#10
22.21.5
22.621.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.6
End0.9
red by 5.7
3229
#29
16.50.8
20.219.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Third
6639
#13
19.71.5
20.318.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End1.1
red by 7.4
8304
#34
12.30.8
13.512.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed