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Red35
900823.9
12257.2
929714.9
Blue90
87579.0
672922.5
90018.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53534050607080903590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#19
23.90.8
23.022.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 1.4
22.51.1
19.320.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Second
9297
#14
14.90.8
15.014.2
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End0.3
blue by 3.2
900
#28
18.11.1
20.421.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Third
1225
#38
7.20.8
9.48.6
Auto4.7
Teleop1.2
End1.3
blue by 1.8
8757
#36
9.01.1
8.39.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned