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Red31
650018.8
600417.7
42908.5
Blue87
949634.8
872731.2
350623.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419602060801201403187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6500
#15
18.81.3
16.915.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 15.9
34.80.4
33.333.7
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
Second
6004
#11
17.71.3
16.114.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.3
End0.8
blue by 13.5
31.20.4
28.228.6
Auto12.8
Teleop16.7
End1.7
Third
4290
#39
8.51.3
10.39.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 14.6
3506
#12
23.10.4
19.119.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed