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Red75
689425.4
672922.5
650018.8
Blue82
873827.4
319625.8
929714.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677240506080901007582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6894
#23
25.40.3
23.523.8
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3
blue by 2.0
8738
#20
27.40.8
26.026.8
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Second
22.50.3
21.822.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End1.4
blue by 3.3
3196
#17
25.80.8
24.425.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End1.2
Third
6500
#15
18.80.3
15.615.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
red by 4.0
9297
#14
14.90.8
14.415.2
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed