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Red96
205920.6
58723.8
903224.5
Blue60
482922.2
456120.6
830412.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6668607080909660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.52.4
21.523.9
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 2.2
4829
#10
22.20.1
23.623.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.6
End0.9
Second
587
#27
23.82.4
20.222.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
red by 3.2
4561
#21
20.60.1
23.623.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End-0.2
Third
2059
#22
20.62.4
18.020.4
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End1.3
red by 8.4
8304
#34
12.30.1
14.013.9
Auto5.7
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed