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Red89
842919.7
264230.0
650018.8
Blue93
453421.0
776330.0
672922.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66832040601001208993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.2
27.228.4
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
Level
30.00.0
29.629.6
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End0.3
Second
8429
#24
19.71.2
16.918.1
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End1.1
blue by 2.8
22.50.0
21.521.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End1.4
Third
6500
#15
18.81.2
17.418.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 2.1
4534
#32
21.00.0
22.122.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned