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Red60
92989.9
900823.9
264014.1
Blue44
12257.2
650018.8
873827.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475902040801006044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#19
23.91.1
22.123.1
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End1.2
blue by 3.5
8738
#20
27.41.2
25.624.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Second
2640
#37
14.11.1
12.914.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 4.7
6500
#15
18.81.2
18.617.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Third
9298
#30
9.91.1
8.89.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.2
End0.6
red by 2.7
1225
#38
7.21.2
7.86.6
Auto4.7
Teleop1.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned