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Red73
87579.0
776330.0
516022.0
Blue90
650220.1
949634.8
322916.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618020401001207390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.9
29.029.9
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End0.3
blue by 4.7
34.80.3
34.034.3
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
Second
5160
#31
22.00.9
20.421.3
Auto6.0
Teleop13.6
End2.4
red by 1.9
6502
#26
20.10.3
19.820.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.6
End2.3
Third
8757
#36
9.00.9
8.19.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End0.8
blue by 7.6
3229
#29
16.50.3
16.216.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned