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Red105
479539.8
744319.2
650018.8
Blue88
663919.7
903224.5
873827.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8273020406010012014016010588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.5
37.939.4
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
red by 12.4
8738
#20
27.41.1
24.425.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Second
7443
#18
19.21.5
17.719.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 5.3
24.51.1
23.724.8
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Third
6500
#15
18.81.5
17.418.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 0.8
6639
#13
19.71.1
18.819.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed