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Red96
949634.8
153318.0
479539.8
Blue92
873827.4
689425.4
264230.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10487204060801201401609692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.1
39.539.5
Auto13.8
Teleop24.8
End1.1
red by 9.8
30.00.1
29.329.5
Auto6.6
Teleop22.5
End0.9
Second
34.80.1
34.534.4
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End1.0
red by 7.4
8738
#20
27.40.1
26.726.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Third
1533
#25
18.00.1
17.717.7
Auto8.6
Teleop8.0
End1.4
blue by 7.4
6894
#23
25.40.1
24.724.8
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End1.3