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Red78
903224.5
373723.2
205920.6
Blue108
58723.8
345922.9
776330.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7586406010012078108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.3
24.824.6
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End2.4
blue by 5.6
30.00.6
29.930.5
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End0.3
Second
23.20.3
23.623.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.7
End2.2
blue by 0.6
587
#27
23.80.6
23.724.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Third
2059
#22
20.60.3
21.020.7
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 2.3
3459
#16
22.90.6
22.823.4
Auto10.1
Teleop11.4
End1.3