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Red80
672922.5
482922.2
900823.9
Blue83
456120.6
482829.6
453421.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7581506070901001101208083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#19
23.90.2
23.823.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End1.2
blue by 5.7
29.60.1
29.930.0
Auto10.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Second
22.50.2
22.422.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 1.6
4534
#32
21.00.1
21.321.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Third
4829
#10
22.20.2
22.122.2
Auto7.7
Teleop13.6
End0.9
red by 1.6
4561
#21
20.60.1
21.021.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.5
End-0.2