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Red74
153319.3
57277.1
663918.6
Blue20
96056.4
482920.2
26409.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42361020305060707420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#18
19.31.4
13.715.1
Auto8.0
Teleop9.8
End1.4
blue by 0.9
20.20.9
18.117.2
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Second
18.61.4
15.016.5
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End1.4
red by 8.7
2640
#25
9.90.9
11.810.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Third
5727
#23
7.11.4
8.810.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.0
red by 0.7
9605
#17
6.40.9
3.32.4
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed