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Red13
91985.6
651211.8
80307.9
Blue12
97624.8
92986.5
350621.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2436010203040506070801312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.80.7
12.311.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.9
End2.7
blue by 9.2
21.01.3
20.619.3
Auto10.3
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
8030
#12
7.91.1
5.94.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.9
red by 1.4
9298
#27
6.51.3
6.65.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Third
9198
#26
5.60.7
5.14.4
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
red by 0.7
9762
#30
4.81.3
4.33.0
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed