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Red20
33498.2
12257.6
59196.6
Blue61
672920.9
153319.3
80307.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194504060801002061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3349
#20
8.20.0
7.77.7
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End1.0
blue by 12.7
20.91.6
17.819.4
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Second
1225
#14
7.60.0
8.28.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.6
blue by 11.7
1533
#18
19.31.6
15.116.7
Auto8.0
Teleop9.8
End1.4
Third
5919
#28
6.60.0
4.74.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
blue by 1.4
8030
#12
7.92.6
4.87.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed