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Red76
949634.4
96077.2
900512.8
Blue14
429014.2
97246.5
26409.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653002040801001207614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.7
35.135.8
Auto15.4
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 20.1
14.21.2
12.611.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Second
9005
#11
12.80.7
12.313.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 2.8
2640
#25
9.91.2
11.710.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Third
9607
#16
7.20.7
7.58.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 0.8
9724
#19
6.51.2
7.46.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed