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Red40
350621.0
87577.9
59196.6
Blue39
663918.6
33498.2
56794.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303701020506070804039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.8
19.119.9
Auto10.3
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 2.4
18.60.1
16.916.7
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End1.4
Second
8757
#22
7.90.8
4.25.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 0.3
3349
#20
8.20.1
7.77.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End1.0
Third
5919
#28
6.60.8
4.65.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
red by 2.0
5679
#29
4.60.1
8.48.2
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed