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Red21
69328.5
482920.2
33498.2
Blue17
97624.8
12257.6
96056.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411302060801002117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.21.1
18.717.5
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
red by 12.6
1225
#14
7.60.1
7.27.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.6
Second
6932
#24
8.51.1
7.86.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.2
End0.6
red by 2.1
9605
#17
6.40.1
3.23.3
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Third
3349
#20
8.21.1
7.56.4
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End1.0
red by 3.4
9762
#30
4.80.1
4.64.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed