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Red52
96077.2
69087.5
689424.0
Blue38
33498.2
350621.0
153319.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142102050605238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.8
18.018.8
Auto10.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
red by 3.1
21.00.1
19.119.2
Auto10.3
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
6908
#21
7.50.8
6.16.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.8
End0.4
blue by 11.7
1533
#18
19.30.1
13.113.2
Auto8.0
Teleop9.8
End1.4
Third
9607
#16
7.20.8
5.76.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End0.7
blue by 1.0
3349
#20
8.20.1
4.44.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed