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Red46
663918.6
80307.9
96077.2
Blue55
672920.9
91985.6
688816.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36430102030506070804655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.2
17.918.1
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End1.4
blue by 2.3
20.91.1
19.320.4
Auto8.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Second
8030
#12
7.90.2
7.67.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.9
blue by 8.0
6888
#10
16.01.1
14.615.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
9607
#16
7.20.2
7.77.9
Auto2.0
Teleop4.6
End0.7
red by 1.7
9198
#26
5.61.1
4.05.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed