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Red39
96056.4
949634.4
80307.9
Blue27
59196.6
57277.1
482920.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51310204060801003927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.3
32.532.2
Auto15.4
Teleop17.6
End1.4
red by 14.2
20.20.2
18.017.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Second
8030
#12
7.90.5
7.57.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End0.9
red by 0.9
5727
#23
7.10.2
8.28.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
9605
#17
6.40.3
3.43.1
Auto4.1
Teleop1.3
End1.0
blue by 0.2
5919
#28
6.60.2
3.93.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed